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External Trade - December 2008

Exports and imports on decrease for the third month

Publication Date: 05. 02. 2009

Product Code: r-6001-08




According to preliminary data for December 2008, exports and imports at current prices fell by 13.4% and 8.2% year-on-year, respectively. The trade balance ended in a deficit of CZK 11.8 billion, which represented a deterioration of CZK 9.0 billion year-on-year. In the year 2008, exports were down by 0.7% and imports rose only by 0.1%. The annual trade balance reached a surplus of CZK 69.4 billion, which was by CZK 18.5 billion less than in 2007.

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According to preliminary data, seasonally adjusted exports fell by 7.8% while imports grew by 0.1%, month-on-month. The development trend shows decreasing exports (-3.5%) and imports (-1.4%).

Year-on-year, exports and imports at current prices were down by 13.4% and 8.2%, respectively, which represents the highest December year-on-year fall since 1994. Exports and imports have been declining for the last three successive months. December 2008 was by two working days longer than December 2007. Due to slight appreciation of the koruna against euro and depreciation against US dollar, external trade decrease was lower in euros (exports -12.8%, imports -7.5%) and higher in US dollars (exports –19.8%, imports –15.0%).

The trade balance ended in a deficit of CZK 11.8 billion, which was by CZK 9.0 billion worse result year-on-year and the biggest December trade gap since 2003. December trade balance has always been negative in the history of the Czech Republic. The trade balance with EU member states was active by CZK 22.9 billion and with non-EU countries passive by CZK 34.7 billion. A decrease of CZK 7.1 billion in surplus in ‘machinery and transport equipment’ contributed primarily to the higher total trade deficit. Trade deficits in ‘mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials’ and ‘crude materials, inedible, except fuels’ were up by CZK 2.9 billion and CZK 0.5 billion, respectively. Trade balance in ‘miscellaneous manufactured articles’ deteriorated by CZK 1.5 billion as surplus turned into a deficit. A CZK 1.6 billion fall in deficit in ‘chemicals and related products’ and improvement of balance (due to deficit turning into a surplus) in ‘beverages and tobacco’ by CZK 1.0 billion and in ‘manufactured goods classified chiefly by material’ by CZK 0.7 billion affected the total trade balance favourably. Trade balance in ‘food and live animals’ remained roughly at the level of December 2007.

Total exports of ‘machinery and transport equipment’ fell by 20.1% (CZK –20.2 billion). The highest exports decreases were registered in ‘road vehicles’ (CZK -10.0 billion), ‘telecommunications and sound-recording equipment’ (CZK -3.4 billion) and ‘electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances’ (CZK –3.2 billion). Total imports of ‘machinery and transport equipment’ decreased by 16.1% (CZK –13.1 billion); considerable import decreases showed ‘road vehicles’ (CZK -4.6 billion), ‘electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances’ (CZK –2.1 billion) and ‘general industrial machinery and equipment’ (CZK –1.9 billion). Imports of ‘mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials’ grew by 18.9% (CZK +3.4 billion) mainly due to higher imports of crude petroleum (+34.1% in value, +58.1% in volume). Imports of natural gas increased by 66.4% in value and dropped by 1.2% in volume.

By group of countries, trade surplus with EU member states fell by CZK 2.9 billion and trade deficit with non-EU countries increased by CZK 6.1 billion. Trade surplus grew with Germany (by CZK 2.0 billion), the Netherlands (by CZK 1.4 billion), Slovakia (by CZK 1.1 billion) and Austria (by CZK 1.0 billion). Trade deficit fell with Japan (by CZK 1.7 billion) and the United states (by CZK 0.6 billion). Trade deficit grew with China (by CZK 2.8 billion) and the Russian Federation (by CZK 2.1 billion). As surplus turned into deficit the trade balance deteriorated with Norway (by CZK 1.7 billion), Spain (by CZK1.4 billion), Hungary and Italy (both by CZK 1.2 billion). Trade surplus dropped with Sweden (by CZK 1.2 billion) and Belgium (by CZK 1.0 billion).

In the year 2008, compared with the previous twelve months, exports fell by 0.7% and imports rose only by 0.1% respectively. The trade balance reached a surplus of CZK 69.4 billion, which was by CZK 18.5 billion down year-on-year. Trade balance improved in ‘machinery and transport equipment’ (surplus up by CZK 15.6 billion), ‘manufactured goods classified chiefly by material’ (surplus up by CZK 8.9 billion), ‘beverages and tobacco’ (improvement by CZK 5.0 billion owing to deficit turning into a surplus) ‘food and live animals’ (deficit down by CZK 4.4 billion), and ‘chemicals and related products’ (deficit down by CZK 4.3 billion). Trade balance deteriorated in ‘mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials’ (deficit up by CZK 41.8 billion), ‘miscellaneous manufactured articles’ (surplus down by CZK 10.9 billion) and ‘crude materials, inedible, except fuels’ (surplus down by CZK 3.4 billion).

By group of countries, trade surplus with EU member states rose by CZK 71.1 billion and trade deficit with non-EU countries increased by CZK 89.6 billion. Surplus rose in trade with Germany (by CZK 25.6 billion), France (by CZK 9.5 billion), Poland (by CZK 8.8 billion), Slovakia (by CZK 7.6 billion), Austria (by CZK 5.6 billion) and Romania (by CZK 3.8 billion). Trade balance improved with the Netherlands (by CZK 18.9 billion) where deficit turned into a surplus. Trade deficit grew with the Russian Federation (by CZK 29.4 billion), China (by CZK 25.6 billion), Azerbaijan (by CZK 5.0 billion) and Kazakhstan (by CZK 4.8 billion). Trade balance deteriorated with Norway (by CZK 7.8 billion) as surplus turned into a deficit; and surplus decreased with Spain (by CZK 6.2 billion), Hungary (by CZK 4.5 billion) and Belgium (by CZK 4.2 billion).

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According to the communication of the Directorate General of Customs, the data were received from 95,9% of the companies obliged to report to the Intrastat system.
Data for companies exempted from the reporting duty (those whose annual value of trade with EU member states was below CZK 4 million for goods dispatched and below CZK 2 million for goods arrived) and for companies that failed to report have been imputed. The imputation methods are based on data that the companies reported in the previous period and data from the tax returns.

Analysis - External trade in the year 2008



Notes
Contact: Karel Král, phone (+420) 274 052 161, e-mail: karel.kral@csu.gov.cz
Data source: Intrastat forms and Single Administrative Documents (SADs)
Related publication: 6001-08 External Trade of the Czech Republic in January–December 2008 http://www.czso.cz/csu/2008edicniplan.nsf/engs/2008-6
The table with data on imports of goods FOB is for the Czech National Bank to calculate the balance of payments
/vzo_ts
The data for individual months of 2007 are finalised referring to 28 August 2008 closing date and the data for January–September 2008 are updated referring to 1 December 2008 closing date.
The October 2008 data are preliminary referring to 1 December 2008 closing date; the November 2008 data are preliminary referring to 31 December 2008 closing date and the December data are preliminary referring to 19 January 2009 closing date. They will be updated in March 2009 together with the monthly data from the beginning of 2008.



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