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Harvest forecast - August 2004

Favourable weather during harvestime raised the estimate of this year’s yield of cereals

Publication Date: 03. 09. 2004

Product Code: r-2102-04



Based on the data as at 15 August 2004, the CZSO estimates the production of main cereals, potatoes in total and industrial sugar beat to reach 7 753 thousand tonnes, 894 thousand tonnes and 3 325 thousand tonnes, respectively. Compared to the harvest a year ago, the estimate of the production of main cereals is higher by 2 492 thousand tonnes (+47.4%) and of potatoes by 211 thousand tonnes (+31.0%), while the that of the production of industrial sugar beet is lower by 170 thousand tonnes (-4.9%).

The high estimated production of main cereals and rape is influenced by a most very favourable course of both the vegetation period and especially of the key harvest period.

The yield of main cereals is expected at 5.13 t/ha (4.62 t/ha estimated in July), which translates into an increase of 0.51 t/ha (by 10,9 %). The yield of rape is estimated at 3.42 t/ha (July estimate 2.84 t/ha) – an increase of 0.58 t/ha (by 20,3 %) compared to July.

The total yield of potatoes (24.85 t/ha) is also higher, by 5.88 t/ha compared to the actual yield in the previous year. As for the yield of industrial sugar beat estimated at 46.77 t/ha, it is higher by 1.57 t/ha compared to the previous year’s yield. Further year to year comparison the CZSO performed also the matching of August estimates to averages for period 1993 – 2003.

Production of the main market crops is estimated as follows: 4 425 thousand tonnes of winter wheat (i.e. +97.1% up on the actual production in 2003) and 1 696 thousand tonnes of spring barley (-3.8% down on the production in 2003). The estimate of the production of rape was raised to 886 thousand tonnes (+128.5% up on last year’s actual production). The production of late ware potatoes now estimated at 581 thousand tonnes translates into an increase of 29.9% on last year.




Note
Contact: Jiří Hrbek, phone (+420) 24 052 331, e-mail: hrbek@gw.czso.cz
Data source: CZSO sample survey in enterprises farming agricultural land
End of data collection: 16 August 2004
End of data processing: 2 September 2004
Related publications: 2121-04 Harvest Forecast in July ( https://csu.gov.cz )
Update: Next forecast of the hectare yields and harvests of selected agricultural crops made as at 15 September 2004 will be released by the CZSO on 8 October 2004.



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