The Fertility Assumptions for the Population Projection of the Czech Republic of the Czech Statistical Office from 2023

Kryštof Zeman
Demografie, 66(4): 280–293
https://doi.org/10.54694/dem.0354

Abstract
This paper introduces the methodology used to estimate the fertility parameters for the population projection of the Czech Republic for 2023–2050. Elements of methodology discussed here include the assumptions, input and output data, and the details of the computations and estimations. The analysis focus on the birth order dimension, cohort perspective, and high and low estimation variants. The paper further compares the estimated summary fertility indicators with past projections by the Czech Statistical Office, as well as with recent projections by other agencies.

Keywords
population projection, Czech Republic, births, fertility, total fertility rate, cohort fertility, mean age of mothers