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Quarterly National Accounts of the Czech Republic

Commentary

Contents

Gross Domestic Product in 1st Quarter of 2004


According to preliminary estimates the GDP for the first quarter increased by 3.1 % at constant prices year-on-year. The contribution of GDP components to the total result varied distinctly. Capital formation expenditure (+ 12.7 %) was growing faster than final consumption expenditure (+2.1 %), and the development of the external balance of goods and services continued to exercise its negative effect: the growth of imports considerably outstripped the growth of exports (+11.3 % and +8.3 %, respectively).

Year-on-year development of the individual GDP components at average prices of the previous year:

  • Final consumption expenditure rose in real terms especially due to the growth of expenditure by households (+3.9 %); expenditure by institutions classified to the general government sector dropped by 1.6 %. In nominal terms (current prices), households spent by CZK 15.5 billion (+5.2 %) more than last year, which corresponded to the development of their disposable income (+5.5 %). Expenditure by general government increased by 6.1% primarily due to a rise in nominal wages.
  • Development of gross capital formation favourably was affected by both of its components. Gross fixed capital formation increased by 9.5 % year-on-year under the dominant influence of investment in buildings and structures where the 5 %-to-19 % change in VAT anticipated by the investors may have shown itself. Inventories also increased sizeably, compared to the first quarter of 2003: by CZK 17.7 billion this year as against +CZK 11.6 billion in 2003.
  • External balance of goods and services was greatly affected by the development of terms of trade. While at current prices it became favourable after a number of years (+CZK 0.9 billion), it changed for the adverse in terms of the previous year’s prices (-CZK 7.2 billion) when the deficit of trade in goods (-CZK 9.3 billion) was only partially offset by the surplus of the balance of services (+CZK 2.1 billion).

At current prices, the first quarter GDP grew by CZK 43.5 billion (+7.3 %) year-on-year